Big East Conference Tournament Recaps
NCAA Basketball Betting Lines
03/09/2010 -
New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Dominque Jones scored 20 points with nine
rebounds as South Florida downed DePaul, 58-49, in first-round action at the
Big East Tournament.
Mike Mercer added 14 points and five boards for the Bulls (20-11), who advance
to face the eight-seed Georgetown, in the second round on Wednesday.
Will Walker posted 20 points for the Blue Demons (8-23), who dropped 13
straight to end the season. Mac Koshwal contributed eight points and a game-
high 10 rebounds in defeat.
USF led by 15 at the break, but a brief run early in the second half saw
DePaul climb within six after Jeremiah Kelly's layup made it 34-28.
Chris Howard's bucket just after the midway point of the half boosted the
Bulls' edge to 42-31, and the lead grew to as high as 12, 50-38, on an
Augustus Gilchrist layup with 4:12 to go before USF cruised to the buzzer.
<< Pats make it official with Wilfork, Neal
Foxborough, MA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The New England Patriots officially
announced the signings of defensive tackle Vince Wilfork and guard Stephen
Neal on Tuesday.
Terms of the deal were not disclosed, but a report from Bost
<< NASCAR suspends crew members for substance abuse violation
Daytona Beach, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - NASCAR on Tuesday indefinitely suspended
two crew members for violating the sanctioning body's substance abuse policy.
According to a news release, William Keith, a crew member of the No.38 Front
Row
<< UL-Lafayette to look for new men's hoops coach
Lafayette, LA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The University of Louisiana-Lafayette has
decided not to retain men's basketball coach Robert Lee, whose contract
expired at the conclusion of this season.
Lee had spent the past 14 seasons with
<< Turf to Dirt Angle Works Best
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Both of Saturday's three-year-old
Kentucky Derby preps were won by horses that raced on the turf in their
previous start. One was favored at Aqueduct while the other was the sixth
choice in the betting at S
<< Sorgi to back up other Manning
East Rutherford, NJ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The New York Giants inked quarterback
Jim Sorgi on Tuesday.
The 29-year-old Wisconsin product, who was the backup to Peyton Manning in
Indianapolis for the past six seasons, now gets the chanc
Houston signs academy player to developmental contract >>
Houston, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Houston Dynamo signed Dynamo Academy
product Francisco Navas Cobo to a developmental contract, the Major League
Soccer club announced on Tuesday.
The 18-year-old midfielder joins goalkeeper Tyl
Browns part ways with QB Anderson >>
Berea, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Cleveland Browns terminated the contract of
quarterback Derek Anderson on Tuesday.
The move comes less than 24 hours after the Browns traded for Seneca Wallace
and seems to open the door for Brady Q
Nurnberg loses Breno for rest of season >>
Nurnberg, Germany (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Nurnberg has been rocked by confirmation
that on-loan defender Breno will miss the remainder of the season.
Breno was stretchered off during Sunday's 3-2 victory over Bayer Leverkusen
and subsequent s
Broncos sign DE Green >>
Englewood, CO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Denver Broncos signed free agent
defensive end Jarvis Green on Tuesday.
Green had spent each of his eight NFL seasons with the Patriots after New
England made him a fourth-round pick in the
San Antonio Silver Starts (WNBA) >>
Signed forward Tasha Humphrey to a training camp contract.
Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?
Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.
“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.
“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “
What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?
There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).
Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).
How the Opening Line Is Made
The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.
Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.
Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.
Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.
The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.
A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.
Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:
Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game
Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)
The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.
Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.
For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.
Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."
“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”
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MySportsbook.com week 1 NFL lines
Now that the 2008 NFL schedule is finally out, it is only matter-of-course for lines on “Week 1” to follow. Of course MySportsbook.com is the first to churn out odds for the NFL’s inaugural week for the upcoming season. Expect a lot of fireworks the first Thursday night of the season as the defending champion Indianapolis Colts face off against the surprise of the 2008 season, the New Orleans Saints. These teams were ranked #1 and #3 in the NFL respectively a season ago so a high scoring affair could be in order. As of now, the Colts will be giving 6 points to the Saints; keep in mind the Saints were one of the better road teams last season going 6-3 SU and 7-2 ATS. The first Monday night of the season will again provide a “double feature”. Coming off a disappointing season, the Cincinnati Bengals will look to get back to playoffs and improve their public image as they take on the AFC North favorite Baltimore Ravens. The second game features a couple of teams that haven’t had too much success recently but each could make some noise if the NFC is as weak as it was last year as the San Francisco 49ers host the Arizona Cardinals. The most interesting game of the opening week will feature the NFC champion Bears as they hit the road to take on the NFL’s top team during last year’s regular season, the San Diego Chargers.
MySportsbook.com Week 1 odds:
Saints +6 @ Colts -6
Falcons @ Vikings (pick ‘em)
Panthers @ Rams (pick ‘em)
Broncos -3.5 @ Bills +3.5
Chiefs -1 @ Texans +1
Dolphins +3 @ Redskins -3
Patriots -5 @ Jets +5
Eagles -3.5 @ Packers +3.5
Steelers -4 @ Browns +4
Titans +6 @ Jaguars -6
Bears +6 @ Chargers -6
Lions +3 @ Raiders -3
Bucs +6.5 @ Seahawks -6.5
Giants +4 @ Cowboys -4
Ravens +3 @ Bengals -3
Cardinals +3 @ 49ers -3
Super Bowl line (2008)
NFC +6.5 vs. AFC -6.5
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