CFL Previews - August 27-28 - Week Nine
Football Betting Lines
08/25/2010 -
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) -
CALGARY STAMPEDERS (6-1) at BRITISH COLUMBIA LIONS (1-6)
DATE & TIME: Friday, August 27, 10:30 p.m. (et).
GAME NOTES: A couple of teams heading in opposite directions in the CFL's
Western Division clash at Empire Field in Vancouver for the second time in
less than a month as the British Columbia Lions entertain the Calgary
Stampeders on Friday night.
Last week all of the clubs in the division enjoyed a bye, giving Calgary more
time to plot how to distance itself from the rest of the league while BC was
left to wonder how it got caught in this mess in the first place.
Since defeating Edmonton in the season opener by a score of 25-10, the Lions
have headed south and fast, losing six in a row to match the Eskimos for last
place in the division standings. On August 12, BC barely put up a fight as
Saskatchewan rolled to a 37-13 victory at home, continuing the longest losing
streak in the career of head coach Wally Buono who has a total of 236 regular-
season victories to his credit.
Aside from receiver Geroy Simon catching the 800th pass of his career, placing
him ninth in CFL history, and Ryan Phillips recording two more interceptions
to give him 11 all-time against the Roughriders, little went right for the
Lions. Newly named quarterback Jarious Jackson converted 18-of-31 passes for
194 yards, but he was picked off twice and sacked five times. Running back
Yonus Davis scored on a 51-yard run in the third quarter, while kicker Paul
McCallum's 32-yard field goal in the first period represented the first points
scored in the opening frame in any game this year for the Lions.
While British Columbia is staring up at the rest of the division, outside of
Edmonton of course, Calgary is rolling along after blowing the doors off the
Eskimos two weeks ago in an ugly 56-15 final at home. Henry Burris hit on 21-
of-29 passes for 305 yards and three touchdowns and even backup Drew Tate got
in on the action as he converted all four of his pass attempts and added a
passing TD of his own in the onslaught. Nik Lewis, one of eight players with
at least one reception, did the most damage with five catches for 117 yards
and a pair of majors for the home team. While the Stamps were putting up 504
yards of total offense, they were limiting Edmonton to a mere 283 yards and a
total of 13 first downs.
Over the last seven meetings against the Lions, Burris has tossed at least one
touchdown pass and actually has a total of 12 TD strikes against just three
interceptions during that span. The signal-caller also has five rushing
touchdowns to his credit since 2008 versus BC. Adding to the offensive attack
for the Stampeders has been running back Joffrey Reynolds who for the most
part has had quite a bit of success against the Lions since the start of the
2008 campaign. He has gained at least 100 yards rushing in five of the seven
meetings, averaging no less than 5.4 yards per carry in any of those contests,
which means he and Burris have put together a solid one-two offensive punch
that BC has yet to stop.
The Lions, who are averaging just 108.3 yards per game on the ground in 2010,
have turned the ball over 18 times through seven outings and that hasn't
helped matters either. Adding to the confusion is the ever-changing
quarterback position which has seen Jackson, Travis Lulay and Casey Printers
all taking their share of the snaps. Certainly that wasn't the intention
coming into the season, but after Printers went out with an injury and Lulay
proved to be ineffective, the original plans were thrown out the window.
Printers, who has completed 56.8 percent of his passes for two touchdowns and
as many interceptions, could be back on the field this week, but given how
much this group has gone through nothing is guaranteed.
After seven weeks of the season, the passing attack for the Lions was dismal
at best, completing a combined 58 percent of pass attempts for a mere three
touchdowns and a total of 10 INTs. The combined efficiency rating was a paltry
66.4, compared to Calgary which was at 99.2 thanks to having a league-high 18
TD passes. Not only do the Stamps possess one of the top offensive units in
the league, the defense has managed to hold opponents to just 310.1 ypg, by
far the best mark in the CFL this year thus far.
Coming into the 2010 campaign, Calgary held a 91-71-5 advantage over the Lions
in the all-time regular-season series dating back to 1954. The Stamps won the
first meeting of the season a few weeks back with a 27-22 victory on the road
as Burris threw for a pair of touchdowns in the seventh straight series
victory for Calgary. The teams are scheduled to meet again at the end of
September and late in October to complete the season series.
If it were just the Calgary offense taking on the Lions that would be one
thing, but the aggressive nature of the Stamps defense is another killer
attribute that BC simply is not prepared to fight off. Expect another win for
the Stampeders this week, but by a much larger margin than they had in the
first meeting of the season.
Sportsbook Betting Lines Predicted Outcome: Calgary 44, British Columbia 18
SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS (5-2) AT EDMONTON ESKIMOS (1-6)
DATE & TIME: Saturday, August 28, 7:00 p.m. (et).
GAME NOTES: The Edmonton Eskimos soldier on this weekend as they entertain the
Saskatchewan Roughriders in a Western Division showdown at Commonwealth
Stadium on Saturday night.
Both teams enjoyed a week off recently, although the Roughriders probably had
a better time of it than Edmonton seeing as how Saskatchewan is currently
second in the division standings with a record of 5-2 and the Eskimos are
scraping the bottom of the barrel with just one win in seven tries. Except for
a 28-25 win over British Columbia, the other team in the division that is a
mere 1-6 thus far, Edmonton has had little to be proud of to this point. The
last time the team hit the field was on August 15 and they hit it hard,
suffering a 56-15 setback at the hands of the Calgary Stampeders on the road.
The loss was the second in a row and prompted a number of changes on the
Edmonton coaching staff.
First, it was announced that assistant coach Danny Kepley had decided to
retire on August 18, a move that surprised head coach Richie Hall. Shortly
thereafter it was announced that offensive line coach Jeff Bleamer had been
relieved of his duties. In hopes of changing the team's fortunes at this
stage, coach Hall brought on Mark Nelson to handle the linebackers and Tim
Prinsen to take care of the offensive line. Only time will tell whether these
alterations to the coaching staff bear any fruit here in 2010.
But one thing is for sure, Edmonton needed a shakeup in order to show that it
was unwilling to go through the rest of the campaign without making some sort
of effort. Through seven weeks of the season, the Eskimos were second-to-last
in the league in scoring with a mere 20.7 ppg and dead last in terms of points
allowed, permitting an unhealthy 34.1 ppg. Playing into all of those numbers
was the team's inability to not only maintain possession of the ball (24
giveaways) but also to force opponents into turnovers (10 forced) which means
they are by far the worst team in the CFL with a minus-14 in the turnover
department.
Against the Stamps the last time out, Edmonton was charged with nine penalties
for a loss of 141 yards, fumbled the ball four times and was tabbed with a
pair of interceptions as three different players took their turn at
quarterback. Starter Ricky Ray went from being ineffective (2-of-5 for 19
yards and a sack) to taking a seat on the bench with an injury. Jared
Zabransky hit on half of his 16 pass attempts for 107 yards and a score, but
he was picked off once and suffered three sacks as well. Jason Maas converted
5-of-8 throws for 62 yards and a pick for the inept unit. If there was
anything positive to take from the outing it was that kick returner Kelly
Campbell was named the CFL's Special Teams Player of the Week after bringing
back five punts for 162 yards, including one for a major on a 95-yard gallop.
He also returned five kickoffs for an additional 141 yards.
As for the Roughriders, their offense was hitting all the right notes against
British Columbia in their 37-13 victory two weeks ago. However, garnering some
attention of his own was linebacker Jerrell Freeman who was named the CFL's
Defensive Player of the Week after logging the first three sacks of his
professional career. Not to be ignored was quarterback Darian Durant who threw
for 223 yards and a touchdown and also scored two of the team's four rushing
majors in the decision. Durant, who suffered a pair of INTs, gained a team-
best 67 yards on just nine carries, while running back Wes Cates contributed
61 yards and two touchdowns on 13 attempts coming out of the backfield.
With seven weeks in the books Durant was second in the league with 2,263
passing yards, yet his 60.3 percent completion rate was less than impressive
and his 11 touchdowns against nine interceptions doesn't exactly strike fear
into opposing defenses. More positive was the overall production of Cates who
was not only third in the CFL with 558 yards on 88 carries, but he was by far
the top scoring running back with seven majors in as many games and thanks to
one receiving TD he was first in the CFL in touchdowns overall. In 14 career
games against Edmonton, Cates has scored a total of seven touchdowns while
rushing for 707 yards and registering 380 yards receiving.
On a personal level, Durant has had his issues against the Edmonton defense
since making his first appearance against the club last year. In just four
games the signal-caller has issued four INTs and been sacked a total of 11
times, but at the same time he has averaged about 245 ypg through the air as
well.
Edmonton has been a slow starter all season, scoring just 14 combined points
in the opening quarter, and the team has been notorious for lying down in the
fourth as well, putting up just 24 points in that period. In between the squad
has generated an impressive 107 points in 2010, but until the unit is able to
put together a solid effort from the opening kick to the final gun it will
never seriously contend on a regular basis.
For the Roughriders, they too need some time to warm up when they hit the
field, tallying a total of 34 points in the first period this year, but once
they get started they are hard to hold down, improving upon their scoring in
each successive quarter before finishing off with an average of more than 11
ppg in the fourth alone.
Believe it or not, the Eskimos actually gave Saskatchewan a fight in their
first meeting of the season back on July 17 when the Roughriders slipped by
with a 24-20 victory. Edmonton led by a touchdown heading into the fourth
quarter, at which point the Roughriders picked up a TD pass from Darian
Durant, a single and a 23-yard field goal late in the meeting to secure the
victory at home.
Ray threw for 319 yards, but was sacked three times and failed to get his
squad into the end zone, while Durant accounted for 238 yards through the air
and another 49 on the ground as Saskatchewan logged 234 rushing yards, against
just 94 for the visiting Eskimos.
In terms of the all-time, regular-season series between the two clubs, the
victory for the Roughriders last month means Edmonton now leads by a count of
106-80-2 dating back to 1949 campaign. If there is any bright spot to this
matchup for the Eskimos it is that Saskatchewan has lost two of its three road
games so far this season.
The Esks are going to need more than just some changes on the sidelines to
improve this year, and with the issues at quarterback right now they are ripe
for the picking.
Sportsbook Betting Lines Predicted Outcome: Saskatchewan 35, Edmonton 23.
Sportsbook Betting Lines Season Predictions: 19-11; Last Week: 1-1.
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M
SPORTS BETTING - Tennis is an underrated and under-utilized bettors' sport.
Ten years ago, at just about this time, I called Alan Boston in Vegas and left him a voicemail that went something like this (abridged version): "Hey Alan, Chad Millman from ESPN The Magazine calling. I want to do a book about wise guys, you in?"
A couple weeks later I got a message back (abridged version): "I don't know, maybe," Boston said. "Call me and we'll talk about it. But not later today. I got $1,000 on Andre Agassi to win the French Open at 40-1, and he's in the finals."
Here's what happened next (abridged version): Agassi won his tourney. Boston won his $40,000. I wrote sportsbook.
In the ten years since, how much has been wagered on the big-time tennis events? Put it this way: The Nevada Gaming Commission doesn't even track the number year by year because it's so small.
"Tennis makes up about one-tenth of one percent of our take," says Lucky's bookmaking boss Jimmy Vaccaro. "The last big golf major we probably had $100,000 worth of bets. In tennis, we might have written two big tickets."
Tennis' lack of popularity amongst the American bettoratti is no surprise, really. For starters, the biggest sports betting holidays -- the Super Bowl, the NCAA tourney -- are must see TV. People, at least the degenerates I know, plan vacations around watching those events in Vegas sports books.
But Wimbledon? Doesn't exactly reel in the whales. "Seriously, it's the nuts as an event," says Boston. "But who even knows when it's on?"
Here's another reason that helps explain why golf gets traction, something I call "The Bubbe Theory." My Bubbe is pushing 95 and has cataracts so bad that, to her, even the most crystalline Chicago day is mostly cloudy. But she still listens to the Cubs games, and she still calls me in a fit if she disagrees with something Rick Telander writes in the Chicago Sun Times. She's a sports fan. If she doesn't know you, you're just filling a niche. And niche players, even historically good ones like Roger and Raf, don't drive betting volume. Only the highest profile names attract square money, which inflates wagering totals like a shot of saline to the lips. Bubbe, and the public, loved Agassi, tennis' last cross-the-rubicon, mainstream draw. She also has a crush on Tiger. She's given me standing orders to put a sawbuck on the big cat whenever I walk through a sports book (or mistakenly tap into one via my Internet machine.) That explains why the Masters is getting $100K in action at some books while the four tennis majors might not get that combined this year.
This isn't a case of tennis being a difficult sport to bet. In fact, in Europe, it's probably the second most popular sport for gambling after soccer. Granted, as the WSJ football betting last week and The Mag's Shaun Assael examined in even greater depth last year, that might be because gamblers across the pond see it as an easy game to fix. But it could also be because, over there it holds the kind of sway the big two do over here.
Street corners in Spain are peppered with public courts and kids doing their best Raffy impressions. In some war torn parts of Eastern Europe poverty-stricken kids view tennis as an escape route, like football or basketball here. A couple years ago The Mag's Lindsay Berra wrote a great piece about Belgrade's Jelena Jankovic, Ana Ivanovic and Novak Djokovic. They learned the game as kids while bombs were raining down on their homeland. They practiced in drained swimming pools. Not exactly Nick Bolletierri conditions.
In the United States, casual fans think tennis is played four times a year. But on the tightly packed European continent, national interest in homegrown talent runs deep every weekend. Of the ATP's current top 20 players, only two, tennis betting and James Blake, are American. Fourteen are from Europe, representing six different countries.
No wonder fans from Lisbon to Bhudapest get jacked up for the net game, whether it's Wimbledon or a low-level tourney like the Estoril Open in Portugal (congrats to Spain's Albert Montanes for winning that one, btw). Chances are good that someone representing their flag will not only be playing, but have a shot at winning.
And that's all any bettor can ask for.
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