Maple Leafs' stock slowly rising
Hockey Betting Lines
09/03/2010 -
Toronto, ON (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - There is guarded optimism surrounding the
Toronto Maple Leafs heading into the 2010-11 NHL season, much of that due to
the astute moves made this offseason by general manager Brian Burke.
Through trades and free agency, Burke has assembled an interesting mix of
forwards that should compete at a higher level than last season, one that saw
the Leafs finish 25th in goals scored per game with only 2.56.
One of the more celebrated moves was the acquisition of hard-nosed forward
Kris Versteeg. The 24-year-old, who was acquired via trade from the Stanley
Cup champion Chicago Blackhawks, brings an impressive resume that includes 42
goals and 97 points spread out over the past two seasons in Chicago. He will
get every opportunity to build on those solid numbers with the Leafs, as the
organization has him penciled in among the top six forwards heading into
training camp.
Where Versteeg will help light the lamp, fellow newcomer Colby Armstrong will
be asked to bring a physical brand of hockey that has been lacking in Toronto.
The gritty 27-year-old forward signed a three-year, $3 million contract with
the Leafs after putting up decent numbers last year with the Atlanta Thrashers, scoring 15 goals and 29 points in 79 games.
His toughness will most likely be utilized on the third line, but through the
course of a season his versatility could make him serviceable as a second line
winger. Think of Armstrong as this team's version of Darcy Tucker. Burke also
signed free agent forward Clarke MacArthur to a one-year, $1.1 million deal to
help solidify the top two lines, a relative bargain if he can produce to the
level Burke thinks he's capable of.
MacArthur had a career-high 35 points, including 16 goals, last season in
splitting time between Buffalo and Atlanta, and sees himself as a premier
scorer that hasn't been given the chance to succeed. On the Leafs however, he
will be given every chance in the world to prove his worth. Other than these
additions, the team will be similar to last year's squad, while young pivots
like Tyler Bozak and Nazim Kadri have hopefully matured enough to assume
larger roles with the club. Serious questions remain as to whether these young
guns have progressed enough to center a group of solid wingers, but only time
will tell.
At this point, the closest thing the Leafs have to a proven center is Mikhail
Grabovski, who is coming of a disastrous 2009-10 season in which he scored
only 10 goals. With a contract posing an annual cap hit of $2.9 million,
"Grabo" will need to be much better. Where this Leafs team really has a chance
to shine is on the defensive end.
Although the Leafs defense didn't show it last year, on paper they have one of
the stronger back ends in the league. With prized acquisition Dion Phaneuf
leading a group of proven defenders and Tomas Kaberle back with the club,
moving the puck with ease while playing a bruising physical style will define
this years' defense corps.
Mike Komisarek, who played only 34 games last year before undergoing season
ending shoulder surgery, is healthy and should come closer to resembling the
type of player his $4.5 million annual salary suggests.
With no sure bets on the offensive end, the defense will be leaned upon
heavily to protect the goaltenders this season.
The improved tandem of J.S. Giguere and Jonas Gustavsson gives the Leafs a
solid pair of netminders, something they haven't been able to claim much of
the last three campaigns. Giguere, 33, joined the Leafs near the end of last
season via trade from the Anaheim Ducks and the former Conn Smythe Trophy
winner and Stanley Cup champion was stellar in his 15 starts. In those games,
he posted a 2.49 goals-against average with a .916 save percentage to go along
with two shutouts, reclaiming some of the form that he showed during his years
with the Ducks.
The Leafs are hoping the 6-foot-1, 202-pound Giguere can find that form again,
something that would only add to the confidence of this relatively young squad
as the season progresses. Giguere will also be expected to mentor the
franchise's potential goaltender of the future in Jonas Gustavsson. The 25-
year old Swede, who rose to prominence by backstopping his former team
Farjestad to a Swedish Elite League title in 2009, had an effective rookie
campaign last year with the Leafs. The one they call "The Monster" showed
great fortitude during his first NHL season battling a heart condition and two
minor heat procedures, while still managing to start 39 games and earn 16
wins.
Gustavsson, who plays a similar style to Giguere's, should progress even
further under the tutelage of his older and wiser goaltending partner and
renowned goaltending coach Francois Allaire. Even with optimism abound heading
into the fall, Leafs fans should still approach this season with tempered
expectations.
Improving upon their 30-38-14 record is likely, while challenging for a spot
in the postseason may not be. The Eastern Conference is full of offensively
superior teams that will have to be leapfrogged in order to gain a chance to
compete for the Cup. With that being said, if some of the youngsters up front
can break out while helping the team find an offensive groove, the Leafs have
the defense and goaltending to take them to the next level.
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Big Ten Conference odds
Teams that should be in: Michigan State, Indiana
Work left to do: Illinois, Purdue, Michigan, Iowa
Behind the big two, the pecking order might be in a bit of flux. Has Michigan State passed Indiana after handling the Hoosiers in East Lansing? Where is Illinois in that mix? What looked like a four-big league last week could be morphing into five -- and even six is not unthinkable at this point if everything breaks right.
Should be in:
Michigan State [21-8 (8-6), RPI: 20, SOS: 15] The Spartans made it four-for-four on the homestand, a gigantic accomplishment that leaves them in extremely good shape. MSU is only 1-6 on the road and is at Michigan and at Wisconsin to close things out, meaning the date with the Wolverines on Tuesday looms very, very large. Beating Texas early will hold up well, as will the rout of Bradley and the win over BYU, but will 8-8 be enough? It very well could be, as the computer numbers are good, but why chance it?
Indiana [18-9 (8-6), RPI: 24, SOS: 32] Hmm ... good thing the last two are at Northwestern and home to Penn State, because IU might want to get both to feel completely safe after dropping its third in the last four, fading after halftime at Michigan State. Who knew the best nonconference win would be over Southern Illinois, which is a gift that keeps on giving for the Hoosiers. The win over Wisconsin also looks good on the mantel.
Work left to do:
Illinois [21-9 (9-6), RPI: 31, SOS: 25] A good performance at Penn State leaves the Illini in pretty good shape. Can they go to Iowa and take care of business to really look on their way? That's a huge game, as there is a possible cluster of teams that will end at 9-7. Illinois beat Bradley, but has lost to Xavier. A 9-7 mark and a semifinals trip in Chicago could be enough with the computer profile hanging in there, but it would be better not to mess around, clinching at least a tie for third.
Purdue [18-10 (7-7), RPI: 47, SOS: 28] Couldn't get it done at Iowa, but did win at Northwestern to put 9-7 squarely in sight. Where does that leave the Boilermakers, though? Even if they beat Minnesota and Northwestern at home, that won't help the computer numbers. Nonconference wins over Virginia, DePaul and Oklahoma are solid, but not spectacular. The Boilers very well might need an upset in the B10 quarters to have a legit claim.
Michigan [19-10 (7-7), RPI: 55, SOS: 53] Well, Michigan did what it needed to do, winning at Minnesota to take control of its fate. The Wolverines have Michigan State and an already-wrapped-up-the-league Ohio State at home to close, so the chances are there. Win both and we can talk. There is no marquee win yet in the profile, and the Wolverines were splattered in several games against name opponents. A mediocre computer profile fueled by a lack of road wins isn't helping, either.
Iowa [16-12 (8-6), RPI: 80, SOS: 64] For the sake of being complete, we'll add Iowa, this season's Stanford. It's plausible that the Hawkeyes could get to 10-6 (at Penn State, vs. Illinois left), but where does that leave them after a gruesome nonconference performance where the best win was over ... Toledo? Iowa State? Cornell?? If they get to 10-6, we can start to look at what they need to do in the B10 tourney, although my gut sense is that they would need to make the final and have knocked off Ohio State or Wisconsin on the way to have any real claim.
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